"Economics is a science with excellent tools for gaining answers but a serious shortage of interesting questions." ~ Steve Levitt ~ "Steve must have skipped his classes in macroeconomics. We
macroeconomists have a serious surplus of interesting questions but
inadequate tools for gaining answers." ~ Greg Mankiw~ "原則上, 寫論文的技術好學, 但實質的部分則需要功力。而功力指的是學養, 品味, 苦工, 眼界和心胸。" ~趙民德~
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(學術期刊著作)
1 |
Do Stock Markets Have Predictive Content for Exchange Rate Movements? (with C.C. Hsu) | 2019 |
Journal of Forecasting, 38:7, 699-713 |
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2 |
台灣匯率貶值政策之探討 | 2019 |
經濟論文叢刊, 47:1, 41-74 |
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3 |
Do Exchange Rate Shocks have Asymmetric Effects on Reserve Accumulation? Evidence from Emerging Markets (with T.Y. Lin) | 2019 |
The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 121:4, 1561-1586 |
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4 |
Further Evidence on Bear Market Predictability: The Role of the External Finance Premium (with N.K. Chen and Y.H. Chou) |
2017 |
International Review of Economics and Finance, |
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5 | Exchange Rate Undervaluation and R&D Activity | 2017 | Journal of International Money and Finance, 72, 148-160 |
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6 |
Commodity Prices and Related Equity Prices | 2016 | Canadian Journal of Economics, 49:3, 949-967
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7 |
央行「阻升不阻貶」? -- 再探台灣匯率不對稱干預政策 資料檔 (EXCEL) 附錄 (Appendix) |
2016 | 經濟論文叢刊, 44:2, 187-213
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8 | Predicting US Recessions with Stock Market Illiquidity (with Y.H. Chou and C.Y. Yen) | 2016 |
The B.E. Journal of
Macroeconomics, 16:1, 93–123 |
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9 | Does Fear Lead to Recessions?
(with
Y.H. Chou) Appendix |
2016 |
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10 | Revisiting the Relationship between Exchange Rates and Fundamentals (with Y.H. Chou) | 2015 |
Journal of Macroeconomics, 46, 1-22
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11 | Forecasting Crude Oil Price Movements with Oil-Sensitive Stocks | 2014 | Economic
Inquiry, 52:2, 830-844
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12 | Do Politics Cause Regime Shifts in Monetary Policy? (with C.C. Wang) | 2014 | Contemporary
Economic Policy, 32:2, 492-502 |
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13 | Using Demographic Changes to Revisit the Consumption--Real Exchange Rate Anomaly | 2013 | Manchester School, 81:2, 163-175 |
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14 | Oil Price Volatility and Bilateral Trade (with K.W. Hsu) | 2013 | Energy Journal, 34:1, 207-229 |
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15 | Rational Expectations, Changing Monetary Policy Rules, and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics (with Y.H. Chou) | 2012 | Journal of Banking and Finance, 36:10, 2824-2836 |
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16 | Reverse Globalization: Does High Oil Price Volatility Discourage International Trade? (with K.W. Hsu) | 2012 | Energy Economics, 34:5, 1634-1643 |
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17 | 動態隨機一般均衡 (DSGE)模型在貨幣政策制定上的應用: 一個帶有批判性的回顧與展望 (與湯茹茵合著) | 2012 | 經濟論文叢刊, 40:3, 289-323 (有關本論文遭抄襲之說明) |
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18 | Consumer Confidence and Stock Returns over Market Fluctuations | 2012 | Quantitative Finance, 12:10, 1585-1597 |
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19 | Does Extracting Inflation from Stock Returns Solve the Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle? | 2012 | Empirical Economics, 42:3, 1097-1105 |
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20 | Revisiting the Empirical Linkages between Stock Returns and Trading Volume | 2012 | Journal of Banking and Finance, 36:6, 1781-1788 |
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21 | Lack of Consumer Confidence and Stock Returns | 2011 | Journal of Empirical Finance, 18:2, 225-236 |
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22 | Taiwan's Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Policies over the Business Cycle (with T.M. Wu) | 2010 | Singapore Economic Review, 55:3, 435-457 |
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23 | 台灣貨幣政策法則之檢視 (與吳聰敏合著) | 2010 | 經濟論文, 38:1, 33-59 |
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24 | House Prices, Collateral Constraint, and the Asymmetric Effect on Consumption (with N.K. Chen and Y.H. Chou) | 2010 | Journal of Housing Economics, 19:1, 26-37 |
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25 | Do Higher Oil Prices Push the Stock Market into Bear Territory? | 2010 | Energy Economics, 32:2, 490-495 |
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26 | Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Evidence from Long-Horizon Regression Tests (with Y.H. Chou) | 2010 | Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 72:1, 63-88 |
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27 | Are Mathematics and Science Test Scores Good Indicators of Labor-force Quality? (with M.C. Luoh) | 2010 | Social Indicators Research, 96:1, 133-143 |
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28 | Revisiting the Inflationary Effects of Oil Prices | 2009 | Energy Journal, 30:4, 161-174 |
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29 | Oil Price Pass-Through into Inflation | 2009 | Energy Economics, 31:1, 126-133 |
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30 | Predicting the Bear Stock Market: Macroeconomic Variables as Leading Indicators | 2009 | Journal of Banking and Finance, 33:2, 211-223 (Summarized in CFA Digest August 2009, Vol. 39, No. 3: 42-44) |
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31 | The Liquidity Effect in a Flexible-Price Monetary Model | 2008 | Oxford Economic Papers, 60:1, 122-142 |
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32 | 台灣匯率制度初探 (與吳聰敏合著) | 2008 | 經濟論文叢刊, 36:2, 147-182 |
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33 | Assessment of Weymark's Measures of Exchange Market Intervention: The Case of Japan (with K. Taketa) | 2007 | Pacific Economic Review, 12:5, 545-558 |
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34 | A Note on Interest Rate Defense Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility | 2007 | Economic Modelling, 24:5, 768-777 |
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35 | Oil Prices and Real Exchange Rates (with H.C. Chen) | 2007 | Energy Economics, 29:3. 390-404 |
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36 | Does Monetary Policy Have Asymmetric Effects on Stock Returns? | 2007 | Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 39:2-3, 667-688 |
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37
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Perspectives on Teaching International Macroeconomics and Finance: Is There More Consensus in the 2000s? | 2006 | Economics Bulletin, 1:3, 1-20 |
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38 | Revisiting the Interest Rate-Exchange Rate Nexus: A Markov Switching Approach | 2006 | Journal of Development Economics,
79:1,
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39 | A Note on In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Tests for Granger Causality | 2005 | Journal of Forecasting, 24:6, 453-464 |
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40 | Does `Aggregation Bias' Explain the PPP Puzzle? (with C. Engel) | 2005 | Pacific Economic Review, 10:1, 49-72 |
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41 | Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Monetary Shocks: A Revisit | 2004 | International Journal of Finance and Economics, 9:1, 25-32 |
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42 | Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Welfare Cost of Stabilization Policy | 2003 | Journal of Policy Modeling, 25:2, 123-135 |
(專書
著作)
``Three Essays on Monetary Economics,'' Ph.D. Dissertation, Department
of Economics, University of Wisconsin-Madison. May 2004.
Advisor: Professor Kenneth D. West