"Economics is a science with excellent tools for gaining answers but a serious shortage of interesting questions." ~ Steve Levitt ~

 "Steve must have skipped his classes in macroeconomics. We macroeconomists have a serious surplus of interesting questions but inadequate tools for gaining answers." ~ Greg Mankiw~

"
But in science the credit goes to the man who convinces the world, not to the man to whom the idea first occurs." ~ Sir Francis Darwin~

 "原則上, 寫論文的技術好學, 但實質的部分則需要功力。而功力指的是學養, 品味, 苦工, 眼界和心胸。" ~趙民德~

 


Refereed Journal Publications

(學術期刊著作) 
 

1
Do Stock Markets Have Predictive Content for Exchange Rate Movements? (with C.C. Hsu) 2019 Journal of Forecasting,

38:7, 699-713
2
台灣匯率貶值政策之探討 2019 經濟論文叢刊,

47:1, 41-74
3
 
Do Exchange Rate Shocks have Asymmetric Effects on Reserve Accumulation? Evidence from Emerging Markets (with T.Y. Lin) 2019 The Scandinavian Journal of Economics,

121:4, 1561-1586
4
 
Further Evidence on Bear Market Predictability: The Role of the 
External Finance Premium (with N.K. Chen and Y.H. Chou)
2017

International Review of Economics and Finance,

50, 106-121

5 Exchange Rate Undervaluation and R&D Activity 2017  

Journal of International Money and Finance,

72, 148-160

6
 
Commodity Prices and Related Equity Prices 2016  

Canadian Journal of Economics,

49:3, 949-967

 

7 央行「阻升不阻貶」? -- 再探台灣匯率不對稱干預政策

資料檔 (EXCEL)

附錄 (Appendix)

2016  

經濟論文叢刊,

44:2, 187-213

 

8 Predicting US Recessions with Stock Market Illiquidity (with Y.H. Chou and C.Y. Yen) 2016 The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics,

16:1, 93–123

9 Does Fear Lead to Recessions? (with Y.H. Chou)

Appendix
2016


Macroeconomic Dynamics,

20:5, 1247-1263

 

10 Revisiting the Relationship between Exchange Rates and Fundamentals (with Y.H. Chou) 2015 Journal of Macroeconomics,

46, 1-22

 

11 Forecasting Crude Oil Price Movements with Oil-Sensitive Stocks 2014 Economic Inquiry,

52:2, 830-844

 

12 Do Politics Cause Regime Shifts in Monetary Policy? (with C.C. Wang) 2014 Contemporary Economic Policy,

32:2, 492-502

13 Using Demographic Changes to Revisit the Consumption--Real Exchange Rate Anomaly 2013  

Manchester School,

81:2, 163-175

14 Oil Price Volatility and Bilateral Trade (with K.W. Hsu) 2013  

Energy Journal,

34:1, 207-229

15 Rational Expectations, Changing Monetary Policy Rules, and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics (with Y.H. Chou) 2012  

Journal of Banking and Finance,

36:10, 2824-2836

16 Reverse Globalization: Does High Oil Price Volatility Discourage International Trade? (with K.W. Hsu) 2012  

Energy Economics,

34:5, 1634-1643

17 動態隨機一般均衡 (DSGE)模型在貨幣政策制定上的應用: 一個帶有批判性的回顧與展望 (與湯茹茵合著) 2012  

經濟論文叢刊,

40:3, 289-323

(有關本論文遭抄襲之說明)

18 Consumer Confidence and Stock Returns over Market Fluctuations 2012  

Quantitative Finance,

12:10, 1585-1597

19 Does Extracting Inflation from Stock Returns Solve the Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle? 2012  

Empirical Economics,

42:3, 1097-1105

20 Revisiting the Empirical Linkages between Stock Returns and Trading Volume 2012  

Journal of Banking and Finance,

36:6, 1781-1788 

21 Lack of Consumer Confidence and Stock Returns 2011  

Journal of Empirical Finance,

18:2, 225-236

22 Taiwan's Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Policies over the Business Cycle (with T.M. Wu) 2010  

Singapore Economic Review,

55:3, 435-457

23 台灣貨幣政策法則之檢視 (與吳聰敏合著) 2010  

經濟論文,

38:1, 33-59

24 House Prices, Collateral Constraint, and the Asymmetric Effect on Consumption (with N.K. Chen and Y.H. Chou) 2010  

Journal of Housing Economics,

19:1, 26-37

25 Do Higher Oil Prices Push the Stock Market into Bear Territory? 2010  

Energy Economics,

32:2, 490-495

26 Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Evidence from Long-Horizon Regression Tests (with Y.H. Chou) 2010  

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,

72:1, 63-88

27 Are Mathematics and Science Test Scores Good Indicators of Labor-force Quality? (with M.C. Luoh) 2010  

Social Indicators Research,

96:1, 133-143

28 Revisiting the Inflationary Effects of Oil Prices 2009  

Energy Journal,

30:4, 161-174

29 Oil Price Pass-Through into Inflation 2009  

Energy Economics,

31:1, 126-133 

30 Predicting the Bear Stock Market: Macroeconomic Variables as Leading Indicators 2009  

Journal of Banking and Finance,

33:2, 211-223 (Summarized in CFA Digest August 2009, Vol. 39, No. 3: 42-44)

31 The Liquidity Effect in a Flexible-Price Monetary Model 2008  

Oxford Economic Papers, 

60:1, 122-142

32 台灣匯率制度初探 (與吳聰敏合著) 2008  

經濟論文叢刊,

36:2, 147-182

33 Assessment of Weymark's Measures of Exchange Market Intervention: The Case of Japan (with K. Taketa) 2007  

Pacific Economic Review,

12:5, 545-558

34 A Note on Interest Rate Defense Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility 2007  

Economic Modelling,

24:5, 768-777

35 Oil Prices and Real Exchange Rates (with H.C. Chen) 2007  

Energy Economics,

29:3. 390-404

36 Does Monetary Policy Have Asymmetric Effects on Stock Returns? 2007  

Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,  

39:2-3, 667-688

37

 

Perspectives on Teaching International Macroeconomics and Finance: Is There More Consensus in the 2000s? 2006  

Economics Bulletin,

1:3, 1-20

38 Revisiting the Interest Rate-Exchange Rate Nexus: A Markov Switching Approach 2006  

Journal of Development Economics,

79:1,  208-224 

39  A Note on In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Tests for Granger Causality 2005  

Journal of Forecasting,

24:6, 453-464

40  Does `Aggregation Bias' Explain the PPP Puzzle? (with C. Engel) 2005  

Pacific Economic Review,

10:1, 49-72

41  Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Monetary Shocks: A Revisit 2004  

International Journal of Finance and Economics,

9:1, 25-32

42  Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Welfare Cost of Stabilization Policy 2003  

Journal of Policy Modeling,

25:2, 123-135

 


Monograph

(專書 著作)

``Three Essays on Monetary Economics,'' Ph.D. Dissertation, Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin-Madison. May 2004.
Advisor: Professor Kenneth D. West