New MicroTSP Workfile&! $l  $lubLQ_@dgiEn#sKb'L?L{?`O 0 .Һ?-аB>ҿJ)53?i= ?{+ƿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ$?'ʿ2x7B BA82U왿fbQ ˄^IxeC}?B_?qûV?EK/2?JV4b C+:2 9?φ?nj>?dzg?VZ;?E?2m?[gr uX?_eb?u\?@mҍPPsayl[\ 5vGo?vdX|y?&010 ?R{Rqc &`@ b@*Ң`yx@dݣGC\/H8d?@si? ;k{ W6ޔA87?ky~?oh)???x HPXq!e?4f, &ȠY}@-:?m?q 8?'ే?>˝?@Ui8WP O? νM} 8?xG-?*nV-|?4BB?sWB{3q? d7 d7?ʁ?er9Dʘ?E/1$?@ ? .?n'D W?\p!N?LMa?ԕqo},4U`J^މ? @?+d?Сy??\wb Z?Ecχ}uJ?fԟn@2? 鋿~ׅ쑿PtoML%>?C3ԟxW<,8rA$H?pT?pTq??dzg?VZ;?E?2m?[gr uX?_eb?u\?@mҍPPsayl[\ 5vGo?vdX|y?&010 ?R{Rqc &`@ b@*Ң`yx@dݣGC\/H8d?@si? ;k{ W6ޔA87?ky~?oh)???x HPXq!e?4f, &ȠY}@-:?m?q 8?'ే?>˝?@Ui8WP O? νM} 8?xG-?*nV-|?4BB?sWB{3q? d7 d7?ʁ?er9Dʘ?E/1$?@ ? .?n'D W?\p!N?LMa?ԕqo},4U`J^މ? @?+d?Сy??\wb Z?Ecχ}uJ?fԟn@2? 鋿~T vqnt~gQdlaVs\mً٦aY|h`pW+'wbVNYVN0ןSVf8VeQ*V1U#VLi V_HV_VV2x76D*[History] Modified: 2004:1 2007:4 // forecast(f=actual) dsf<<*O@|@d@@b@ @@@AYAxA.AA8AyAAyAA AAAx{ A A A A(AAAA4PAA AaA4AjAQAhAA$5AA<AApAA4dA X AԸ AL!ARK!A:~"A."A"A"AW#A$j#A#A"$Af%A,&Ah'A4(A(A)Av)AK*AD*AR&,Ax,A-Al.A&/A/Ai0AG0A'\1AOs1AJ 2A%2A.u3A~3AT4A=4Ak5A5Ai6AӁ6A7AT8A8A8A:A:Au:A.:A"'AO?AA@Ah?A@A[7AAkAAAA AABArEBAAA_BA&BArCAtBA~CAzCAV_CAAABABCCACABACA-DADABApDA5EAyEACAEAvEAEA*DA"FAFAFA>DA)GA9GAGAEAtHA%IA2x76p/n @}ff @_ @)MS^W @_aO @rRH @93#A @+VC: @o3 @ - @' @%?K" @L @ @t @4? @Z @f @kQb @f  @Ӵ+ @nO @Ϭ @VP @TtV0 @pD @~e @4r @  @-g @$ᄗ` @x @"q @!b @LY @ @ci; @ @S @ZZb( @,X2 @w콪; @^%C @ .K @ۃlP @WoS @zrT @S @91N @aG @Gf< @;s. @ @GpM @6D @A> @ v- @Vt @vW}6n @ AG @g3R @6k @ x @Wd @u5v @ĥN @1O( @s @~} @~* @:\ @ S-] @H=:r @CR] @[[#K @r*G : @&:F, @: @ @f{ @;,a @H$L @H; @;L?  @)` @ 6ek @~' @VM @E8~ @$o%% @-@?0 @]n< @Jڇ=J @cZ @Q2by`k @C} @INXX @(u+k @Ӻ @]D @#H @ @BCS @iWZ1 @B7[nH @^ @:=Ls @sd8 @>iׯ @RuW @|[7ĸ @m @H@r @' @ @Kc @lc) @.a @|c| @Z @B/%3 @$ @En9& @!F6p( @u( @5}' @; ͯ% @;" @BA; @ 3` @ͥ\ @ @I  @䋒 @R @[Lc @=s @)t @fr @pJ @b. @#uΫ @ؘXJ @ @2x76N4[History] Modified: 1972:1 2007:4 // ls.hpf(1600) hptrend01<<4n @}ff @_ @)MS^W @_aO @rRH @93#A @+VC: @o3 @ - @' @%?K" @L @ @t @4? @Z @f @kQb @f  @Ӵ+ @nO @Ϭ @VP @TtV0 @pD @~e @4r @  @-g @$ᄗ` @x @"q @!b @LY @ @ci; @ @S @ZZb( @,X2 @w콪; @^%C @ .K @ۃlP @WoS @zrT @S @91N @aG @Gf< @;s. @ @GpM @6D @A> @ v- @Vt @vW}6n @ AG @g3R @6k @ x @Wd @u5v @ĥN @1O( @s @~} @~* @:\ @ S-] @H=:r @CR] @[[#K @r*G : @&:F, @: @ @f{ @;,a @H$L @H; @;L?  @)` @ 6ek @~' @VM @E8~ @$o%% @-@?0 @]n< @Jڇ=J @cZ @Q2by`k @C} @INXX @(u+k @Ӻ @]D @#H @ @BCS @iWZ1 @B7[nH @^ @:=Ls @sd8 @>iׯ @RuW @|[7ĸ @m @H@r @' @ @Kc @lc) @.a @|c| @Z @B/%3 @$ @En9& @!F6p( @u( @5}' @; ͯ% @;" @BA; @ 3` @ͥ\ @ @I  @䋒 @R @[Lc @=s @)t @fr @pJ @b. @#uΫ @ؘXJ @ @2x76z9[History] Modified: 1972:1 2007:4 // ls.hpf(1600) hptrend02<<9?XXs&@c$&@V%Ь&@ķ&@"&?5&@x2W&@IF7J'@%l'@{+'@''@gf'@ X'@L IO'@ങ '@a'@OrW'@zhj(@Ap*(@ջ7(@[W(@-UX(@џ{o(@sR(@p (@3T(@G V(@p(@%c )@*)@"/9)@L)@Ebf)@|)@_mjS)@bw)@)@C$D)@qH *@J vY*@؈}$*@l=*@ٖ~K0*@[[4*@`>@*@5p<*@Yda*@rm*@=y*@~*@[*@ )*@oJy*@_2 *@68*@?K*@CU*@*@!r*@*< +@o`+@t*+@5R7+@wL+@]T;L+@O>HQU+@|^+@2]0x+@~Tw+@L6+@kxn+@z"7+@ ,Q^+@kf+@ ^ +@ _+@dsA+@ΥPB+@~,S+@/,@E8%,@zv4,@c5;2,@d";O,@b_;\,@gZkf,@|-h,@Y S̓,@JQl,@Z^&,@q,@6/tu,@̨,@?*,@9a,@TT#,@,@z",@oxZ,@y0g -@B;-@OZ -@Ԭ--@5`4-@:B-@ה<5H-@C =-@[AW-@% Z-@7`-@pYDY-@؇J+3g-@}bn-@6w-@NUe-@:xށ-@Ft-@~-@oV-@@_ al-@+T{-@PG-@ebGm-@`Ap-@zN-@sP-@x~g-@-@8!-@vH[History] Modified: 1972:1 2007:4 // lgdp=log(gdp)33> r2;ӂ @ r2;ӂ @ r2;ӂ @ r2;ӂ @ hN @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @A @ ܱ @0ġ˜ @To @< @o+u @D @./2R @./2R @FqŨ @FqŨ @-bK3 @9l @ Qpz @!% @  @VcC @ـp @O} @("I @_L\ @8E @. @O} @w @>Y @L3a @4^ @9`y @j̢ @$P @[ @ '. @] @u|z @K.p @ e @xY @nr @K/~ @5d @ @  @ @$_% @ @7 @B @!E, W @p @ >o @k;2 @ōJ @f1 @t" @ YLf# @K: @Kژ[ @7pi @;~ @0>{ @KJ2 @jos @KJ2 @K, @4 @D޷ @exT @y~ @U,BV @ @]b @6 @+R @#(\ @D|g @R&c @Y#1l} @/m @ߍ#x @"l @QIW\] @PРX @q*+s @kP @~6Hb5 @y!g @yz P` @J9'` @B-vD @ 5 @Gd" @|K @S4 @@| @`i, @J= @4 @R׾2 @4 @,P @ & @F}e @M}i @ C! @ @ @2,8P"ArialxZ,0P"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbt"ArialxZ,0"ArialxZ,0"           NQC2xZ76,L[History] Modified: 1972:1 2007:4 // ls=log(s)//tLC7=? I|?&?rs? 9*9hEA=yH>xXCֹ֫s{ p8lW+.JQ?l3/t;l?řw?'k?_?= td?d\?jK?8*? z ?nu?fJ???sĘ3MP :dZ~jm7bfL+ $A/hys A]@M3-/GN}n2 ڛ>Qn @}ff @_ @)MS^W @_aO @rRH @93#A @+VC: @o3 @ - @' @%?K" @L @ @t @4? @Z @f @kQb @f  @Ӵ+ @nO @Ϭ @VP @TtV0 @pD @~e @4r @  @-g @$ᄗ` @x @"q @!b @LY @ @ci; @ @S @ZZb( @,X2 @w콪; @^%C @ .K @ۃlP @WoS @zrT @S @91N @aG @Gf< @;s. @ @GpM @6D @A> @ v- @Vt @vW}6n @ AG @g3R @6k @ x @Wd @u5v @ĥN @1O( @s @~} @~* @:\ @ S-] @H=:r @CR] @[[#K @r*G : @&:F, @: @ @f{ @;,a @H$L @H; @;L?  @)` @ 6ek @~' @VM @E8~ @$o%% @-@?0 @]n< @Jڇ=J @cZ @Q2by`k @C} @INXX @(u+k @Ӻ @]D @#H @ @BCS @iWZ1 @B7[nH @^ @:=Ls @sd8 @>iׯ @RuW @|[7ĸ @m @H@r @' @ @Kc @lc) @.a @|c| @Z @B/%3 @$ @En9& @!F6p( @u( @5}' @; ͯ% @;" @BA; @ 3` @ͥ\ @ @I  @䋒 @R @[Lc @=s @)t @fr @pJ @b. @#uΫ @ؘXJ @ @2,8P"ArialxZ,0P"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbt"ArialxZ,0"ArialxZ,0"           NQyV2xZ76^[History] Modified: 1972:1 2007:4 // ls.hpf(1600) ls_hp_trend>>$_BA85y @5y @5y @5y @0wF @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @ڍݜ @q` @Go @/?O @ U; @=$  @DY @J @J @͟n @͟n @W(ߢ @B @$ @ى @ow @TS}; @Ah @cʄ @ыsx @Py{ @ @c#' @cʄ @]{PXn @/E}Q @V wY @dV @LChp @@f @I*#uy @'OS @~j& @ O @U㤝ֵ @U6k @ @ՕY @ @8˔ @! @sR9 @* @r @f@* @Xi @ 2 @Q3`# @]y{J[ @THږt @=!s @}@%p @RTu @ʃT4P @9r @3 @] @8Ò+ @2n# @Oiv @T* @lV @@ V @K7 @{.N @Aj|C6 @m' @,/}( @U,) @PK_ @jm @̢{ځ @3C#~ @AR @'+ @AR @=jr9 @[ @) @BG @¶t @l@R @V"e @@ @]$ @ڛ @u#^ @ޖhg @xc @"{| @\| @r @r @^D=Y @ΕT @86o @7uL @ 1 @ǀc @*U%\ @=\ @f)CA @VȀ2 @&zD; @Vk @[EQ1 @i @E:7, @}:-6 @ ņf @:> @ ņf @. @e|C @%, @!v @ D @Pg @2xZ76 d[History] Modified: 1972:1 2007:4 // fit(f=actual) lsf77RdBA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8➎!?'p"?6F?LK?׸?1?K[??av'?%N?s&b?2p~?vձ?`I?(aز?o _?ߕM޳?2xZ761iBA8GѸq?GѸq?GѸq?/P~wXՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?ՠl?K 0A̝ ?ޛr?Dvsp?89]?Vg?Be?_HO?,+%qj`d!e?\jaWV:/|?lS +?eֶ?@wʮ?cd?%?8p([\_?Pqj?ј躔a~-o>螿0`$^+4?,`?k?Ob|?@a^z?L&43x\?% L>w}/R?k2ZpR@Gz=@\(<@Gz<@Q<@p= c<@dffff;@QE:@< ףp9@Q9@Gz.:@)\:@@;@{G:;@s= ף0;@(\B;@(\:@ :@(\59@Iz9@ ףp= 9@p= c9@Iz9@Gz:@:@֣p= :@r= ףp:@< ףp:@Qk:@zG::@< ףp=:@Gz9@Q:@)\(;@Gzn;@p= c;@(\;@;@(\;@;@Gzn<@!Q?@Q@@r= ף@@QEA@GzN@@RQ@@{GZ@@(\@@33333?@= ףp>@Gz>@R?@9@@p= C@@= ףp@@GzTA@ ףp=JA@QA@9A@ Q@@QkA@{GZA@\(\A@ A@A@Gz@@r= ף@@= ףp@@Qx@@ ףp=?@ffffff?@)\(@@{G@@)\(@@ףp= @@p= c@@l@@(\u@@(\@@Q@@Q@@2xZ76rForecast: LSF Actual: LS Forecast sample: 2004:1 2007:4 Included observations: 16 Root Mean Squared Error 0.021030 Mean Absolute Error 0.015946 Mean Abs. Percent Error 0.457246 Theil Inequality Coefficient 0.003012 Bias Proportion 0.000010 Variance Proportion 0.002387 Covariance Proportion 0.997603wVNHP"ArialxZ,0^^5sTQTQLSF2,8WP"ArialxZ,0P"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbt"ArialxZ,0"ArialxZ,0u SA: @'2 @} @UiԴ?/y8qk WWJ0۴9) @t:e @0F!G @r?)s8ii WWI(}մmY݇9 @| @س @vO?Bߧ?58zm &W&W JɁ9Ux0I x0I y0I Vy p`TP"ArialxZ,0tNuHPy41@l)`Tl)`TInverse Roots of AR/MA Polynomial(s)8OP"ArialxZ,0%%v|8O8OAR rootsMA roots2,,8-WP"ArialxZ,0P"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbt?P"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbt?P"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbt"ArialxZ,0"ArialxZ,0   } #}Pm7}_n7}_?<;f?wr$l@fg`ZTCOIOD?940]+&"  J p8 V ] $)-l2X7l 3<<3 >sp7-akM %ז;Yoysmga\UVPKEW@';6;1,(#Vd G ?WQ%.?}k?LA?Md0N??:?:?:???U90)O0)x0)0)ʄ0)0) ) `T`TP"ArialxZ,0`{`||N ,}HPE0i@iLS C AR(1) AR(2) MA(1)1972:1 2007:4C(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C AR(1) AR(2) MA(1) LSLS = C(1) + [AR(1)=C(2),AR(2)=C(3),MA(1)=C(4)]1972:3 2007:482y?EYz @TGv?aT7?՗;u$?or1ѩ?D~+uv@BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8@a@ѩ??BA8 *~?@3h9M?RFtQl~N*m?8k Rx[?ɸ??6R.?X? |k?.?:?Sample (adjusted): 1972:3 2007:4Included observations: 142 after adjustmentsConvergence achieved after 8 iterationsBackcast: 1972:2 82y?EYz @TGv?aT7?՗;u$?or1ѩ?D~+uv@@a@ѩ??BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8`07EfP v`KQF!!--((7eRH0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZzc @LA?=Y:DERIV=AA͊ۊ//l  HPE0i@i0i@iU90)O0)x0)0)ʄ0)0)LS C LS(-1)1972Q1 2003Q4C(1) C(2) C LS(-1) LSLS = C(1) + C(2)*LS(-1)1972Q2 2003Q4bS g? d @rge?f? ?<\'3Kb= 7?U> Ds@U[B)BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8@_@b= 7??BA86呵]?"B@ Z#?Sample (adjusted): 1972Q2 2003Q4Included observations: 127 after adjustmentsbS g? d @rge?f? ?<\'3Kb= 7?U> Ds@ ˆ{? U[B)@_@b= 7??A8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8B`0iiA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BŒ.eo^F!!--eRH0ZbtUꭚ?*1? my  gpHPE0i@i0i@iU90)O0)x0)0)ʄ0)0)Hodrick-Prescott Filter (lambda=1600)NP"ArialxZ,0&&٘NNLSTrendCycle2,8=WP"ArialxZ,0P"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbtP"ArialxZ,0ZbtiZbt"ArialxZ,0"ArialxZ,0~ 0iZ @j̢ @ž\ @!ԫz?FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFҸ4/v||Xŝтܮ|~47rI3Ӂ dTSCD"Fp?#2Zy$*m*)*!31Y#)#H!8 %!).a-/e//3%@mՋ1<Ɔ |v~gfl~ƢnϤApNnt0r1~ڇSbb;L?  @n @xþ\ @d?,ޏۓ.֊F џsP94H~Ɂgɜ& Ej٫lTEs9,AoޯUͻ:˩q|Qqe[PF)=z4,N% \b{r +!7',29w?ELSYYd_efjSosx |&dj5ՒZF–)+ɑ~4̌҉>ކ81v`G^?* R=&,t?rPw|eJsNRV]Z]Sadgj|mJpsuaxz}+6HH9#CEEB<@<50+K3D%WTkˌԃ 5jDxx =iQ "UV:@ 4\3Gb$}،\ziD>L@Qxco-t|gpVdNT%\XZZSLDX6($4wq͜gR?$/"QNm#'o݌Eyqb^_xT! ErJFy_chvz|U%0I ;0I 0I ͟ p`TP"ArialxZ,0NHP1972:1 2007:4-taiwan_data_q.wf1Untitled@ALL"(%A^&A ; A('=O