研討日期

2010年01月09日10:20 ~ 12:00

研討地點

台大社會科學院26教室

題目

Free Trade Area and Welfare: Is A Bigger Trade Diversion More Detrimental?

作者

Juyoung Cheong and Kar-yiu Wong

文獻出處

Working Paper

報告人

Kar-yiu Wong(王家驥)

參加人員

王家驥、黃鴻、林燕淑、黃瑞萌、吳芝文、涂光億、彭正浩、蔡明芳、周品旭、吳宜謙、張民忠、曾靜枝、高國峯、王羿傑、張瑞雲、吳世傑、陳宏易、陳金盛、施姵全

摘要

This paper analyzes how the welfare of a member country is affected by the formation of a new FTA. In particular, we examine whether a change in a member country’s welfare is related to the volume of trade diverted from a non-member country to another member country. It has been long and widely believed that a bigger trade volume diverted from a non-member country to another member country is an indication that the welfare of country has been deteriorated to a greater extent. This assumption can be traced back to Viner (1950), and has been used in many empirical studies and policy recommendations. This paper investigates the validity of this assumption. We show that this assumption is not necessarily true, espically if imperfect competition exists in trade. Our result do not support Krishna’s (1998) finding that a bigger trade volume diverted implies a higher likelihood of an FTA to be approved.

備註